Anyone who is thinking clearly knows the economic system fostered by central banks is totally and completely out of control.
Repetitive rounds of QE, competitive currency debasement, interest rates at zero, and sponsorship of the internet bubble followed by the housing bubble, followed by the current stock market bubble is proof enough.
So, what I am about to report is really nothing but common sense, except for the fact that it comes from an unusual place, where one does not normally hear such discussions.
Jürgen Stark, former vice president of the Bundesbank, and also former chief economist of the ECB (unofficial title) says “The System is Out of Control“. Via translation from Libre Mercado, here are a few snips.
Stark, until recently one of the big hawks central bank of Germany for his fierce defense of monetary orthodoxy, resigned in late 2011 for his outright rejection to the purchase of government bonds by the ECB launched the president of the institution Jean Claude Trichet. Since then, Stark has used his rare, but valuable public appearances to warn of the risks associated with the current policy of central banks to the crisis.
In a conference organized by the Ludwig von Mises Institute in Germany, recommended to protect the attendees directly against a probable collapse of the global monetary system. Stark spoke openly.
Stark noted that central banks, including the ECB, “have completely lost all ability to control and perspective on the economic situation.”
The monetary system was saved in 2011 through concerted action by major central banks worldwide. But, according to Stark, the whole system is “pure fiction”. The monetary authorities have been groping since 2008 to avoid a second Lehman Brothers, but if happen, “the system will not survive,” he warned.
The problem is the monetary model itself. That is, the printing of paper currency without real backing and the multiplier by which the commercial banks can expand credit-uncontrolled without prior savings. Stark recommended allocating part of this fictional savings to investment in traditional “safe havens” such as gold or silver.
Also, in another lecture delivered last week in Paris, Stark noted that the fragile recovery in Europe is not due to the absence of monetary and fiscal stimuli (low rates, debt purchase, etc..) and (more government spending) but the slow deleveraging and lack of structural reforms.
Far from helping, the loose monetary policy of the ECB is hampering the recovery, as advanced free market on multiple occasions. The key to growth, create jobs and end the crisis on solid foundations, as Stark, is to increase competitiveness. And to do so, “we must continue gaining flexibility. Progress has been made, but still not enough. The situation has improved, but the crisis is not over.”
“the probability of default, as is reflected in the markets are too low,” he added. The expert was critical of the downside risks caused by the fall in spreads and insurance against default (CDS), as attributes, especially the artificial ECB action.
“Capital appreciation has grown stronger euro. But the crisis markets are distorted. We should not be too happy with what happened,” he mused.
System is Pure Fiction
Stark is preaching to the choir, but it is appreciated. One does not normally hear such statements from central bankers or even ex-central bankers.
That said, his statements would carry more weight if he was still with the Bundesbank. I wish Stark never left.
Supposedly Stark Left for Personal Reasons but it’s easy to discern he was fed up with being the only member of the ECB with a clue.
You can only beat your head against the wall so many times before you lose all sense of hope and finally your mind.
Mike “Mish” Shedlock
http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com
