In spite of the Charlie Hebdo murders that raised the popularity of French president Francois Hollande and his staff, Les Echos reports than in the 2017 presidential election anti-euro candidate Marine Le Pen in the 1st Round Lead With Nearly 30% of the Vote.
According to an IFOP 2017 presidential poll released Thursday, Marine Le Pen would come out clearly in the lead if the first round of presidential elections was held on Sunday.
Le Pen would get 29 to 31% of the vote. No rival would exceed 23%. Nicolas Sarkozy, Manuel Valls, and Alain Juppé, each have around 23%. François Hollande would get 21%.
Francois Bayrou would obtain 7 to 9%, Mélenchon 8%, Cécile Duflot and Nicolas Dupont-Aignan between 3 and 4% and the far left between 2 and 3%.
Prime Minister Valls would do better than Francois Hollande, with 23% of the vote.
Too Early Too Worry
Don’t worry about 2017 until December 31, 2016. Instead worry about Greece and especially Spain. Spanish elections are scheduled for November of 2015.
On January 12, in Zugzwang! I noted the Spanish radical left party Podemos surges into lead. That surge adds another contagion wrinkle given the Podemos “Economic Manifesto” Calls for Debt Restructuring, Spain to Abandon the “Euro Trap”.
“Spaniards should be aware that it is physically impossible that they can pursue policies that meet the national interest, within the euro as it is designed. The euro was conceived as a real trap, but nowhere is it written that people have to accept it .”
Inquiring minds may also wish to consider the Incredible Populist Positions in Podemos’ “Economic Manifesto”.
Don’t Worry, Everything Under Control
In retrospect, it appears there may be too many things to worry about. So instead, sit back and relax. Repeat after me … Nothing can possibly go wrong because central bankers are in complete control.
Mike “Mish” Shedlock
http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com
